Signal Syndicate

Research-backed sports intelligence.
No picks. Just transparent validation.

+17.7% ROI · 129 graded picks · 62.7% win rate · OOS validated

Daily briefs. Model signals. Performance ledgers. Research Q&A.
Built for analysts who want proof, not promises.

Open App Read Methodology

Production platform • Live validation • Public ledger

Live Performance Ledger

129Graded picks
62.7%Win rate
17.7%ROI
22.28uUnits

Every play graded against closing lines. Tracking since June 2026. Nothing hidden. Last settled: 2026-08-12.

View the Ledger →

CLV tracking activates platform-wide once we have 30 graded plays with closing-line data — the odds when we ran projections vs the odds just before game time. Pipeline is live; data accumulates with every settled pick.
Ledger: 79-47-3 · 22.28 units · Last settled: 2026-08-12

Live Model Roster

Portfolio: 129 graded plays · 79-47-3 record · 17.7% ROI · 22.28u — live from the app ledger.

Run Lines 🟢 LIVE

Backtest: +1.77% ROI · n=998 · 2024-2026

Hits Props OVER 🟢 LIVE

Backtest: +13.32% ROI · n=2,235 · 2024-2026

Shadow lanes — tracked publicly, not promoted

Hits Props UNDER 🟡 SHADOW

Backtest: +66.44% ROI · n=880 · 2024-2026

MLB Totals UNDER 🟡 SHADOW

Backtest: +4.52% ROI · n=981 · 2024-2026

F5 Innings 🟡 SHADOW

Backtest: +13.21% ROI · n=86 · 2026

📊 Closing Line Value (CLV)

CLV tracking activates platform-wide once we have 30 graded plays with closing-line data — the odds when we ran projections vs the odds just before game time. Pipeline is live; data accumulates with every settled pick.

How it works

Three steps. Zero black box.

📰
Morning Intel
Daily brief — slate context, injuries, and top model signals before first pitch.
→
🎯
Signal Board
Model-market gaps with best available odds, Kelly sizing, and confidence scores.
→
🧾
Performance Ledger
Every play graded against closing lines — training, OOS, and live, all public.

The workflow of a research desk, not a touting service — context → signals → graded results.

Featured research

Latest from Signal Syndicate Research

Analyst Report — Daily · Aug 10, 2026

4 picks graded, 3-1-0 record, +43.25% ROI, +1.73u — the daily analyst desk report, computed from the public ledger.

We Tested Our Models Against Data They've Never Seen. Here's What Happened.

Out-of-sample validation: the gold standard for proving a sports betting model actually works. We ran 5 models against 2025-2026 data they'd never seen. One passed. Here's the full breakdown.

Why Win Rate Is a Terrible Metric for Serious Bettors

Educational overview of why win rate misleads.

Browse Full Research Library →

The difference

Typical Picks Sites vs. Signal Syndicate

Typical picks sites

Sells picks as the product
Cherry-picked screenshots of wins
Backtests shown only when flattering
One line, take it or leave it
“Trust us”

Signal Syndicate

Publishes signals with the reasoning — the research is the product
Public ledger: every play graded, wins and losses alike
Training · OOS · Live shown for every model — always
Best odds across sportsbooks — tells you where the value is
Verify it: Ask Signal, research memos, and the performance page

No picks. No black box. Just the ledger.