Analyst Report — Weekly · Aug 23, 2026
195 picks graded, 124-71-0 record, -3.95% ROI, -7.70u — computed from the append-only settled ledger.
> Ledger summary
The portfolio closed 124-71-0 (63.6% win rate), -3.95% ROI, net -7.70 units. Win rate holds firm above 60%, but the juice killed us. That's the story when you're laying -110 to -130 on every ticket—you need closer to 65% just to break even at these prices.
F5 Innings went 6-6-0, dead flat at 50.0%, bleeding -4.55% ROI and -0.55u. Coin-flip territory. Hits Props OVER landed 26-17-0 (60.5% win rate) but still dropped -5.59% ROI and -2.41u. The math doesn't lie: 60% isn't enough when you're buying expensive. Hits Props UNDER posted the cleanest win rate at 66.9% (87-43-0), yet still gave back -3.24% ROI and -4.22u—again, the vig ate the edge. Run Lines matched F5 at 50.0% (5-5-0), -5.23% ROI, -0.52u.
Six days of action, four lanes deployed, and the takeaway is simple: win rate alone doesn't pay the bills. You need either higher hit rates or better numbers. We had neither this week.
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Results above are graded from the public ledger.
Educational research only — not betting advice.
Every figure computed from the append-only settled ledger. Educational research only — not betting advice.
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